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Nearly half of L.A. County’s pavement may be unnecessary, new map finds

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Los Angeles is often described as a concrete jungle, a city shaped by asphalt, parking lots and other hardscape. Now, for the first time, researchers have mapped that concrete in detail, and they claim a lot of it doesn’t need to be there.

A new analysis finds that some 44% of Los Angeles County’s 312,000 acres of pavement may not be essential for roads, sidewalks or parking, and could be reconsidered.

The report, DepaveLA, is the first parcel-level analysis to map all paved surfaces across L.A. County, and to distinguish streets, sidewalks, private properties, and other areas. The researchers divided all pavement into “core” and “non-core” uses. A street, for example, is core. Then they paired that map with data on heat, flooding and tree canopy, creating what they intend as a new framework for understanding where removing concrete and asphalt could make the biggest difference for people’s health and the climate.

Principal Brad Rumble visits an area where students are restoring natural habitat at Esperanza Elementary.

Paved surfaces get hotter than those with plantings, absorbing and radiating out the sun’s energy rather than converting it into plant growth, which in turn creates shade. Hotter areas also create more ozone smog. Greener areas are known to bring people psychological relief as well.

The authors are the nonprofit Accelerate Resilience L.A., founded by Andy Lipkis, who also founded TreePeople, the Los Angeles tree planting organization, and Hyphae Design Laboratory, a nonprofit that works to bridge health and the built environment.

What surprised them most, said Brent Bucknum, founder of Hyphae, was seeing where the pavement is concentrated. Nearly 70% of what they deemed non-core pavement is on private property.

Rather than a sweeping removal of pavement, the report highlights small changes that could add up.

The most potential they found was in parking areas, especially large, privately owned commercial and industrial lots. Redesigning 90-degree parking into angled parking could get rid of up to 1,600 acres, creating room for trees and stormwater capture, without reducing the number of parking spaces.

Parking lots, Bucknum said, are one of the clearest examples of how excess pavement has become accepted, even as it makes everyday life worse for residents.

Aerial view of hardscpe area inside Pershing Square in Los Angeles.

“I’m often amazed — I’ll drive into a parking lot and there’s beeping, bumper-to-bumper traffic, you’re under this sweltering heat trying to get out of the grocery store,” he said. “And the reality is, we can make it a lot nicer with more thoughtful design.”

Ben Stapleton, chief executive officer of the U.S. Green Building Council California, pointed to parking requirements that long tied the number of spaces to a building’s size and use.

“The natural solution was to just pave things over, because it’s cheaper, it’s less maintenance,” he said. “It’s not very expensive, especially asphalt.”

Residential property, including apartment complexes, are another place with potential.

If each residential parcel cut a 6-by-6-foot tree well in their patio, Bucknum said, it would amount to 1,530 acres of pavement removed, while on average only reducing patio space by 3%.

Emily Tyrer, director of green infrastructure at TreePeople, said pavement is expanding in residential yards.

“What we’re seeing is that a lot of residential yards are moving toward more paving and less lawn,” she said. “Rather than replacing it with shade trees and native plantings and low water use plants, they’re paving over.”

In many cases, she said, homeowners are responding to drought messaging and rising water costs.

A person walks their dog past native plants and flowers planted along the Merced Avenue Greenway in South El Monte, where they are rethinking how urban infrastructure can simultaneously serve pedestrians, cyclists, and motorists while providing essential environmental benefits.

“Paving does reduce water use, and it can reduce people’s water bills,” Tyrer said. “But it comes with trade-offs.”

The report also identifies schools as places where there could be less concrete or asphalt. On average, school campuses across L.A. County are approximately 40% covered in pavement, leaving students exposed to extreme heat.

At Esperanza Elementary School, near downtown Los Angeles, the campus was “just a sea of asphalt,” said Tori Kjer, executive director of the Los Angeles Neighborhood Land Trust, which is overseeing a transformation at the school. Children ran across blacktop that could reach over 120 degrees on warm days.

It will soon have new California native plants and shade trees, stormwater capture features, grassy lawn, natural play elements, outdoor classrooms and more.

Many of the school families live in small apartments.

“People don’t have any open space,” Kjer said. “They leave their home, and they’re basically just on concrete streets and sidewalks.” Once the asphalt is removed and the trees go in, and rainwater is guided away, it will be a “place for quiet, imaginative play and active play.”

The idea for the Depave report grew out of years of work on tree planting and green infrastructure projects that repeatedly ran into the same barrier.

Installation of natural landscaping is currently under at Esperanza Elementary in Los Angeles.

On project after project, pavement emerged as the central problem, according to Bucknum. “We were trying to plant trees, but so much of the city is paved that there was nowhere to put them,” he said.

The team realized they needed better data to understand the problem, down to the block and neighborhood scale. Something more sophisticated than what is pavement and what is trees.

“This is a first step,” said Devon Provo, senior manager, planning and program alignment at Accelerate Resilience L.A. “It’s an opportunity assessment, not a prescriptive plan for what should 100% be removed.”

Olivier Sommerhalder, a principal and global sustainability leader at the design and planning firm Gensler, pointed out businesses that have paid out the money to pave something would need an upside to replace it.

“There are no incentives for property owners to reduce hardscape,” Sommerhalder said. “The municipality does not incentivize the removal of parking to mitigate urban heat hot spots.”

Sommerhalder said sustainability is increasingly part of design conversations with clients, particularly as tenants ask about comfort and environmental performance. But without policy or financial incentives, he said, surface parking often remains untouched until redevelopment.

This innovative 1.1-mile greenway in South El Monte offers not only safe and accessible paths for walking and biking but also serves as a sustainable approach to managing stormwater, restoring habitats, and reducing urban heat.

As for what an incentive might look like, “we think a really good analogy is the lawn replacement program,” Bucknum said, referring to rebate programs that helped shift Southern California away from water-intensive turf. “People didn’t know there were other options until there was education and financial support.”

It’s important to take into account what is underneath the pavement, said Carlos Moran, executive director of North East Trees, especially in areas with industrial histories.

In some neighborhoods, he said, pavement caps contaminated soil that cannot safely be disturbed. “We can’t just rip it out.”

But he agreed there’s too much pavement. “The hottest blocks in Los Angeles, they’re not just lacking trees,” he said. “They’re overbuilt with asphalt.”

The goal of the report, Provo said, is to give Angelenos and decision-makers a shared starting point for conversation.

“This data is relevant to anyone who wants to have a say in reimagining the future of Los Angeles to be cooler, healthier and more vibrant,” Provo said.

“My hope is that it opens the eyes of people who are building projects who may not have ever even thought about pavement in this way,” Stapleton said. “Once you learn something, you don’t unlearn it.”

By reframing pavement as a design choice rather than a default, Stapleton believes that the analysis could prompt developers and property owners to rethink how much concrete their projects really need, and what they might gain by replacing it.

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LeMadChef
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acdha
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Microplastics and nanoplastics in urban air originate mainly from tire abrasion, research reveals

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Microplastics and nanoplastics in urban air originate mainly from tire abrasion Particulate matter (PM) samples of PM10 (smaller than 10 micrometers) and PM2.5 (smaller than 2.5 micrometers) were taken at Torgauer Street in Leipzig using two high-volume samplers, as are otherwise used at air monitoring stations in accordance with European standards. Credit: Ankush Kaushik, TROPOS

Although plastic particles in the air are increasingly coming into focus, knowledge about their distribution and effects is still limited. Chemical analyses from Leipzig now provide details from Germany for the first time: Around 4% of the particulate matter consists of plastic. Around two-thirds of this comes from tire abrasion.

Extrapolated, this means that people in a city like Leipzig inhale approximately 2.1 micrograms of plastic per day through the air, which increases the risk of death from cardiovascular disease by 9% and from lung cancer by 13%. These findings underscore the need to take global action against plastic pollution and to examine air quality and health at the regional level, write researchers from the Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS) and Carl von Ossietzky University of Oldenburg in the journal Communications Earth & Environment.

How plastic particles enter the air

Plastic particles in the air have become the focus of scientific attention in recent years because they have been detected even in uninhabited regions such as the polar regions and high mountains, and because they have the potential to disrupt ecological processes and affect human health. There are many possible sources of this type of air pollution, such as tire wear, brake wear, textile fibers, dust and urban surfaces.

However, plastic that enters the oceans in large quantities via rivers can also later return to the air as microplastics and nanoplastics via sea spray. Nanoplastics are defined as all plastic particles smaller than one micrometer, while microplastics are defined as all particles between one micrometer and one millimeter. Although the amount of plastic is clearly increasing, too little is known about the risks posed by inhaled plastic particles.

Health risks and regulatory blind spots

What is clear so far is that inhaled nanoplastics can enter the lungs and cause oxidative stress or inflammatory reactions that contribute to respiratory diseases. In addition, these particles can carry heavy metals, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and other substances on their surface, which increase toxicity. The lack of knowledge about microplastics and nanoplastics is also one reason why neither the World Health Organization (WHO) nor the European Union currently has any recommendations or limit values for plastics in the air.

While plastic pollution in the oceans is now part of the negotiations on a UN plastics agreement, the small plastic particles in the air have so far played hardly any role in the political discussion.

Why studying airborne plastics is difficult

The fact that research into plastic in the air has only gained momentum in the last ten years. One reason is that "plastic" is not just one material, but a whole group of different substances with different chemical properties. Because of this diversity, scientists use several complementary analytical methods. Spectroscopic techniques can provide information about particle structure and surface characteristics, while mass-based approaches are used to determine overall quantities.

However, very small particles, especially nanoplastics, are particularly difficult to analyze and clearly identify in complex environmental samples. Conventional optical methods are limited in their ability to reliably detect particles in the nanometer range, and identifying the exact polymer type remains challenging at these small scales.

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Py-GC-MS and polymer fingerprinting work

Pyrolysis gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (Py-GC-MS) has become an important tool in overcoming these limitations. In this analytical method, the samples are broken down into smaller fragments by rapid heating (pyrolysis), separated by gas chromatography and identified by mass spectrometry.

As there are currently no standards for detecting the different polymers, the team had to develop methods for this. To this end, they selected 11 common types including TWPs (tire wear particles), such as PE (polyethylene), PP (polypropylene), PVC (polyvinyl chloride), PET (polyethylene terephthalate), PS (polystyrene), PMMA (polymethyl methacrylate/plexiglass), PC (polycarbonate), PA6 (polyamide 6), MDI-PUR (Polyurethane). The analytical "fingerprint" was determined using commercially available raw polymers and then compared with the samples from the air in Leipzig.

How the Leipzig air samples were taken

Particulate matter (PM) samples of PM10 (smaller than 10 micrometers) and PM2.5 (smaller than 2.5 micrometers) were taken using two high-volume samplers, as are used at air monitoring stations in accordance with European standards. In this process, 500 liters of air per minute are sucked through a filter system and the filter is changed every 24 hours. The filters are later analyzed in the laboratory using pyrolysis gas chromatography and mass spectroscopy.

Measurements were taken over a two-week period (1 to 14 September 2022) in the Science Park on Torgauer Strasse, an arterial road in the Leipzig city area—in other words, at a hotspot.

"This gave us a focused and detailed overview of the composition of micro–nano plastics in areas with heavy traffic. This setup offered the advantage of being able to record the peak values of urban exposure with a fine size resolution of particulate matter and generate high-quality baseline data for assessing health risks," explains Ankush Kaushik, a doctoral student at TROPOS who took and analyzed the samples.

"To our knowledge, this study represents the first polymer-resolved, size-segregated quantification of airborne micro- and nanoplastics in Germany that integrates analytical measurements with exposure and health risk assessment."

What the Leipzig study reveals

The study provides an initial insight into the pollution of the air we breathe with microplastics in a city like Leipzig. However, the extent to which concentrations vary over time and space remains completely unclear. From the researchers' point of view, different locations (urban and rural backgrounds) should therefore be included and longer-term sampling carried out. In the next step, Kaushik's team plans to evaluate samples from an entire year to find out whether there are seasonal fluctuations.

Micro- and nano plastic particles in urban air had previously been identified by other research teams in Graz (Austria), Kyoto (Japan) and Shanghai (China). The Leipzig study is the first in Germany and provides important insights into the composition and origin of the fine dust particles: tire abrasion particles dominated with a share of about 65% of the total plastics, followed by polyvinyl chloride, polyethylene and polyethylene terephthalate. These polymers correlated strongly with carbon-containing aerosol markers, suggesting common emission and mixing in the atmosphere.

Estimating exposure and health risks

Fine dust has been known to pose a health risk for decades. According to the WHO, mass concentration is a key parameter for assessing air pollution and its impact on health, as well as for developing legislation. In order to roughly estimate the extent to which people in Leipzig are exposed to risks from plastic particles in the air they breathe, the research team first determined the mass of plastic particles in the air and then calculated how much adults inhale based on their lung volume.

According to their findings, residents of Leipzig who spend around 24 hours a day on Torgauer Strasse would inhale approximately 2.1 micrograms of plastic particulate matter per day, which corresponds to 0.7 milligrams per year. Estimates of how much microplastic humans breathe in have also been made for megacities in China and India. However, these estimates vary strongly. This wide range underlines how important it is to record all relevant types of plastic and how necessary standardized measurements are.

Due to their small size, the smaller nanoplastic particles in particular can penetrate deeper into the respiratory tract, which carries a higher potential for long-term illness. To investigate possible health effects, the Leipzig study calculated the relative risk based on existing epidemiological models to estimate environmental exposure. These projections resulted in a potentially increased mortality risk of 5–9% for cardiopulmonary diseases (RR: 1.08) and 8–13% for lung cancer (RR: 1.12).
,

"This is higher than the risk of fine particulate matter PM2.5, in general in Europe. Our observations suggest that micro-nano plastics, despite their low mass, may pose health risks over time. The increased risk of mortality from lung cancer and cardiovascular disease could be caused by a possible polymer-specific toxicity of plastic particulate matter," explains Kaushik.

Policy implications and next steps

Combating air pollution from plastic particulate matter is important for reducing human exposure (UN Sustainable Development Goal (UN SDG3: Good Health and Well-being), integrating air quality management into urban planning (UN SDG 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities) and mitigating the impact on the atmosphere (UN SDG 13: Climate Action).

"With around two-thirds of microplastics coming from tire abrasion, this shows that action is needed and that the fine dust problem cannot be solved by switching to electric mobility alone. To protect health, it would be important to also take tire abrasion into account when regulating air quality and to set limits for microplastics in the air," demands Prof. Hartmut Herrmann from TROPOS, who led the study.

Current findings such as this study from Leipzig increasingly suggest that inhaling plastic particles, especially nanoplastics, could have health implications. However, research in this area is still relatively new. Further long-term studies are needed to confirm the toxicity of individual types of plastic, establish safe limits and develop regulatory standards. Until then, the findings from Leipzig underscore the importance of monitoring micro- and nanoplastic particles in the air as new pollutants and further refining methods for assessing health risks.

Publication details

Ankush Kaushik et al, Composition, interactions and resulting inhalation risk of micro- and nano-plastics in urban air, Communications Earth & Environment (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02980-0

Citation: Microplastics and nanoplastics in urban air originate mainly from tire abrasion, research reveals (2026, March 2) retrieved 7 March 2026 from <a href="https://phys.org/news/2026-03-microplastics-nanoplastics-urban-air-abrasion.html" rel="nofollow">https://phys.org/news/2026-03-microplastics-nanoplastics-urban-air-abrasion.html</a>

This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.

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acdha
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Cars are the biggest health risk in most cities but we’re just not used to thinking about them as negative or a choice
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LeMadChef
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Americans trust Fauci over RFK Jr. and career scientists over Trump officials

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Anti-vaccine activist and current Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has worked hard to villainize infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci, even writing a conspiracy-laden book lambasting the former director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

But a year into the job as the country's top health official, Kennedy—who has no background in medicine, science, or public health—still holds less sway with Americans than the esteemed physician-scientist.

In a nationally representative survey conducted in February by the Annenberg Public Policy Center at the University of Pennsylvania, 54 percent of respondents said they had confidence in Fauci, while only 38 percent had confidence in Kennedy. Breaking those supporters down further, 25 percent of respondents said they were "very confident" in Fauci, while only 9 percent said the same for Kennedy.

Credit: Annenberg Public Policy Center (APPC) of the University of Pennsylvania, 2026

Overall, the survey found a clear divide between the confidence in Kennedy and other Trump administration officials and that of career scientists and medical associations.

Among federal agencies, 67 percent said they had confidence in career scientists at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Food and Drug Administration, and the National Institutes of Health. But only 43 percent said they had confidence in the leaders of those agencies.

"The public is differentiating the trustworthiness of career scientists in the CDC, NIH, and FDA from that of the leaders of those agencies and recalling substantially higher confidence in the guidance that former director Fauci provided than that offered by Secretary Kennedy or Dr. Oz," Ken Winneg, APPC’s managing director of survey research, said in a statement.

Overall confidence in federal agencies was also lower than that for medical associations. Sixty-two percent of respondents were confident in the FDA and NIH generally, while 60 percent were confident in the CDC. In contrast, the American Heart Association earned confidence from 82 percent of respondents, while the American Academy of Pediatrics earned confidence from 77 percent, and the American Medical Association earned confidence from 73 percent.

"Trust is the foundation of effective health care and public health," AMA CEO John Whyte said in a statement. "In a challenging information environment, patients need clear, evidence-based guidance they can rely on... The AMA is dedicated to helping patients cut through the clutter and elevate the valid over the viral. Accurate, trustworthy information saves lives."

In a statement to Ars Technica, a spokesperson for the Department of Health and Human Services, Andrew Nixon, said the decline in trust in US public health began before the current Trump administration. "Secretary Kennedy was brought in to restore credibility through transparency, gold standard science, and accountability. HHS is focused on rebuilding public confidence by ensuring that decisions are driven by rigorous evidence."

The survey also found that trust in federal agencies—the CDC, NIH, and FDA—has declined during this administration, falling from 67 percent overall in February 2025 to 60–62 percent in February 2026.

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LeMadChef
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Well, that's comforting.
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Thanks To Dieselgate, Volkswagen’s 70 MPG Mid-Engined Sports Car Was Doomed

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For whatever reason, I’m perpetually fascinated by Volkswagen’s long history of prototypes and concept cars that, while fascinating, never quite managed to make the leap into reality. And by “reality,” I suppose I mean “mass production.” I mean, sure, they exist in reality, as we all do, but they’re often just one-offs or built in very limited numbers. But then again, each of us is a sort of one-off, aren’t we? Even twins. So maybe that’s part of the fascination, though I don’t really think so. I think mostly I just like interesting and strangely wonderful cars, and the particular VW concept I want to talk about today is just that: the Volkswagen EcoRacer Concept.

The EcoRacer was very much a product of its particular time, which was 2005, a period when Volkswagen was heavily invested in diesel engines and eager to find ways to make diesels more exciting and appealing to mainstream car buyers, who often still felt diesels were slow, smoky things that were better suited to big rig trucks than passenger cars. Volkswagen was clearly willing to do a lot to make diesels drive better and be more fun and appealing, and as a result they took big swings like making fun diesel concept cars like the EcoRacer and, much more famously, designing elaborate software and hardware methods to cheat diesel emissions testing, which blew up spectacularly with the whole Dieselgate scandal that came to light around 2015.

The Dieselgate scandal cost Volkswagen plenty, both monetarily and reputation-wise, and also pretty effectively put an end to VW’s passenger car diesel plans, which meant that any fun diesel concept cars were dumped into that same coffin. But, before that happened, they did manage to do some fun diesel things, like this car, a mid-engined diesel sports car with modular, changeable bodywork. Watch:

The EcoRacer, despite its somewhat dumb, first-thing-that-came-to-mind name, was an extremely cool and appealing little car. First publicly shown at the 2005 Tokyo Auto Show, the EcoRacer featured a 1.5-liter inline-four TDI engine making 136 horsepower – which sounds low today, but remember, this is a diesel – and 184 pound-feet (250 Nm) of torque at a pretty low 1900 RPM. It could get to 60 in a respectable 6.3 seconds and managed to do all this while getting 70 mpg!

It used a seven-speed direct-shift (DSG) transmission and only weighed about 1875 pounds. It was a little mid-engined oil-burning rocket, and at the time it was suggested that Porsche was supporting the concept as a way to perhaps make a reborn VW-Porsche 914, though to be fair, I’ve only found one source that reported that, appealing an idea as it may be.

Design-wise, the EcoRacer always stood out to me as something that looked very, well, un-Volkswagen, especially the front end. Spanish designer Cesar Muntada designed the car, and it’s got that VW-Audi 1990s to early-2000s lithe, lean tautness about it, but there’s something about the front end that really feels like something other than a Volkswagen to me.

Vweco Front
Volkswagen

This isn’t a slight; I think it’s a great-looking car, and that wide, smiling grille and angled quad headlamps work really well in this context, and integrate well with the car as a whole. I think it’s strongest in profile, with that Kamm-like squared off tail, which sort of gives it a shooting brake even if it isn’t one:

Vweco Profile
Volkswagen

There’s also what seems to be T-top panels that can be removed, or, as is shown here, at least hinged for easier ingress into the low car:

Vweco Topflaps
Volkswagen

But this is sort of deceptive, because the EcoRacer was a modular design, and that entire rear – what is that, a fairing? – can be removed, leaving a roadster-type body with a roll bar, and the windshield itself can be swapped for a speedster-style cut-down windshield that’s perfect for keeping the wind out of your knuckles’ eyes:

Vweco Modular
Volkswagen

For whatever reason, I have yet to find pictures of the EcoRacer with the roof and rear fairing off and the taller windshield installed, which strikes me as a bit odd, since you would think that would be one of the most popular ways to configure the car, as it’s the most conventional roadster-type setup.

Vweco Int2
Volkswagen

Unlike the exterior, the interior does feel quite recognizably VW/Audi, reminding me of the first-gen Audi TT interior, but with a more pill-shaped design motif instead of pure circles, if that makes sense. VW interiors of this era tended to look and feel fantastic, and this seems no exception. I also appreciate the low, dash-mounted rear-view mirror, which is a bit of a retro touch.

Vweco Rear1
Volkswagen

Around the back, those C-shaped LED taillights do sort of predict future automotive design, and that bold, large rear wheel arch is pretty striking, too, making a nice, muscular-looking haunch.

I mean, I think it’s a wildly appealing package overall, and the idea that a little sports car like this could have potentially delivered 70 mpg as well is just an incredible thought, a thought that also inevitably reminds us that because of VW’s diesel-based crimes and missteps, anything like this will very likely never happen.

VW and Audi once did so much to promote diesels as an efficient, eco-friendly alternative to spark-ignition gasoline cars, and that included working very hard to earn a sporting, exciting reputation for diesels – remember Audi’s diesel Le Mans cars?

The EcoRacer was part of this overall plan, this glamming-up of diesels, and for a good long while, it was working. The complete destruction of not just concept cars like the EcoRacer, but the entire concept of making diesels more appealing to mainstream buyers, says more about the destructive aftermath of Dieselgate than anything else, really.

It’s a shame. A world with fun 70 mpg modular-bodied roadsters could have been a pretty fun place.

Top graphic image: Volkswagen

The post Thanks To Dieselgate, Volkswagen’s 70 MPG Mid-Engined Sports Car Was Doomed appeared first on The Autopian.

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LeMadChef
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I love it
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Minivans Are Popular Again For A Few Normal Reasons And One Reason That’s Kind Of Depressing

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If you spent as much time looking at sales data from last year as I did, you’d probably recognize something peculiar: Minivans are surging in popularity right now. Once a mainstay in suburban driveways across America, the minivan segment has, in recent decades, shrunk to a fraction of its peak, its sales siphoned off by the ever-versatile SUV and crossover segments. Now, though, minivans are making a bit of a comeback.

Minivan sales in North America are up 20% year-over-year, with the majority of the brands that sell minivans seeing double-digit percentage increases in deliveries. Suddenly, minivans are hot again. What gives?

Curious to know more about the segment-wide spike in demand, I asked every automaker that makes a minivan why they thought their minivan was succeeding. The answers I got highlight two demographics, younger families and empty-nesters, choosing vans instead of crossovers more than they did in the past. In addition to that, one automaker told me that minivans are being used more and more by “gig economy” workers who need a multipurpose vehicle to work multiple jobs.

Normal People Are Starting To Realize How Great Minivans Are

Not counting Volkswagen, which saw sales of its ID.Buzz increase from 1,162 units to 6,140 units in 2025, Kia was the biggest winner in terms of sales percentage gain in 2025. It sold 71,917 Carnivals last year, versus just 49,726 units in 2024. That’s an increase of 44.6%. The company told me the van’s SUV-like appearance and available hybrid powertrain were big reasons for the jump. The people buying Carnivals have trended younger, dropping by two years in age versus 2024. It’s also seen an increase in male buyers by 66%.

2026 Carnival
The 2026 Kia Carnival. Source: Kia

Mainly, it seems like new families are finally figuring out just how much more useful a minivan can be over a traditional crossover, at least according to Chrysler, whose Pacifica and Voyager saw a combined 5.4% increase in sales, and accounted for over a fourth of the entire segment’s sales in 2025:

We’re seeing more and more “millennials” entering the parenting phase of their lives, and they are considering minivans at a higher level than ever before.

Honda echoed that observation. The Japanese automaker, which saw a 10.5% increase in Odyssey sales last year, is seeing that millennials are more often turning to vans not only because of their versatility, but also because of their pricing:

Odyssey is also America’s #1 minivan with millennials because it offers younger families an unmatched combination of top-class interior space, family‑friendly features and value. The Odyssey’s powerful V6 engine, smooth ride quality, fun-to-drive personality and reputation for long‑term dependability also continue to make it a go‑to choice for families.

2021 Honda Odyssey
Source: Honda

Affordability is another key factor in Odyssey’s popularity. The average transaction price for Odyssey last year was $43.3K, which is below the average new‑vehicle transaction price in the U.S. ($45,778). For families balancing budgets, that value proposition — more space, more features and lower cost than the average new vehicle — is a meaningful driver of demand.

Toyota, another goliath in the minivan space, saw a massive 35.2% incrase in sales of its Sienna, from 75,037 units in 2024 to 101,486 units last year. Like Kia, Toyota attributes the van’s success to its hybrid powertrain, but also points to its available all-wheel drive as a big selling point.

Like the automakers above, Toyota told me in its statement that Sienna buyers are mainly younger families. But, interestingly, another demographic makes up a good chunk of sales: Empty nesters. These are older parents whose kids have since moved out of the house and who, theoretically, wouldn’t need such a big vehicle to go about their daily lives.

2026 Toyota Sienna Platinum 0005
The Sienna is one of several minivans offered with a built-in vacuum. Source: Toyota

The reasons for this, as Toyota points out, are all the same reasons that I’d own a minivan, even as a person with no kids at all. They’re just so damn useful for so many different things, without being nearly as compromised as a pickup truck or even a full-size SUV. From Toyota:

Sienna buyers are mainly younger families and empty nesters who value comfort, reliability, and flexibility. The vehicle’s spacious cabin and innovative features meet the needs of modern, diverse families, which may also include extended relatives and pets.

Toyota isn’t the only company that has acknowledged this demographic shift. Chrysler is seeing it as well, telling me that it’s seeing more Gen X- and Boomer-aged shoppers now go for minivans and use them to roadtrip and shuttle around grandkids.

Minivans > Pickup Trucks

2026 Chrysler Pacifica 100th Anniversary Edition
Source: Chrysler

It’s not just families and road-trippers who are increasingly turning to minivans. Drivers who use their vehicles for work are, more than before, realizing that a minivan makes for an excellent utility vehicle, at least according to Chrysler:

There is also higher consideration from “gig economy” workers, such as Amazon delivery workers, GrubHub delivery workers and even construction workers, who like that you can fit a sheet of plywood in the rear of the Pacifica with the Stow ‘N Go seats folded flat.

While it’s pretty depressing to hear that people increasingly need to work multiple “gig” jobs while using their own personal vehicles for transport purposes, the use case highlights just how flexible a minivan can be. For one vehicle to be able to haul a mountain of packages during the day, switch to food delivery at night, then shuttle seven kids to school the next morning, all while driving like a normal car and getting reasonable fuel economy, is a tall ask. But for a minivan, it’s all in a day’s work.

First Introduced For The 2005 Model Year, The Stow 'n Go Seating And Storage System For Chrysler Pacifica Allows Second And Third Row Seats To Fold Flat Quickly And Easily Into The Floor. When Not Stowed, Available Stow 'n Go In Floor Bins Offer Easily Accessible Space To Store Gear.
Stow ‘N Go has been a signature feature of Chrysler’s minivans since 2005. Source: Chrysler

As for construction use, a minivan makes a lot of sense, too. The Ford Transit and Ram Promaster are angled for commercial use, but they’re more expensive and less efficient. The ancient Chevy Express is only about $1,000 more expensive than a base Voyager, but it sure as hell doesn’t have Stow ‘N Go fold-flat seats. For a truly do-it-all vehicle, you’d be hard-pressed to find something as all-encompassing as a minivan, provided you don’t do any off-roading. And the demographics from these automakers prove it.

If I can put my speculation cap on for a second, it’s also possible that the minivan is becoming popular simply because people don’t want to drive what their parents drove. It’s the same sort of theory posited by the fall of the minivan and station wagon in the first place—who wants to be seen driving around in a type of car their parents drive? The difference now is that the average parent car is currently a crossover, not a minivan. The new families buying cars now all grew up in SUVs and crossovers, which means they want something different. The fact that minivans are also more useful is certainly the main reason for this drive in sales, but the simple fact that minivans aren’t crossovers could be a bonus for some buyers.

2025 Chrysler Voyager
Source: Chrysler

No matter the reason, I’m glad the minivan is making a comeback. It’s the best body style for a large swath of the population, and for a while, it seems like most people forgot just how useful they could be. Now, though, it feels like a new minivan renaissance is upon us. This time, I hope it lasts forever.

Top graphic images: Toyota; Kia; Chrysler; Honda

The post Minivans Are Popular Again For A Few Normal Reasons And One Reason That’s Kind Of Depressing appeared first on The Autopian.

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LeMadChef
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Denver, CO
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Winter Tires With James-Bond-Style Retractable Studs Are Now Real And You Can Buy A Set This Fall

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When it comes to driving on ice and hardpack snow, nothing comes close to the control of studded tires. Hundreds of little spikes literally bite into the frozen surface like steel teeth, ensuring absolutely huge traction. Unfortunately, those same studs that are a game-changer on ice can make life miserable on dry pavement. Not only do they reduce ride comfort, but they can wail like a banshee and are downright rough on asphalt and concrete surfaces. So rough that some jurisdictions ban their use.

In a perfect world, the ideal solution to this dilemma would be tires with studs that can deploy or retract on command. Think James Bond’s Aston Martin V8 in The Living Daylights or the Mach 5 in Speed Racer. Maybe more the former than the latter, but still. While push-button studs haven’t become reality yet, the winter tire engineers at Nokian have cooked up the next best thing: Studs that automatically deploy and retract.

Needless to say, this has been in the works for ages. Some 80 years after inventing the winter tire in 1934, Nokian unveiled a concept tire with retractable studs that seemed like pure science fiction. Well, it took about twelve years of research and development, but the production equivalent is finally here, known as the Nokian Hakkapeliitta 01.

Nokian+tyres+hakkapeliitta+01+(12)
Photo credit: Nokian

The way the Hakkapeliitta 01 works sounds simple, but it’s actually genius. As tires roll down the road, the amount of friction generated on a given surface heats it up. For an extreme example, think about racing drivers weaving to heat up their tires before a restart. Because clear asphalt offers substantially more friction than ice, a tire rolling along asphalt should warm up quicker than a tire on ice. This principle is key because the studs in the Hakkapeliitta 01 deploy not based on ambient temperature, but based on tire temperature.

Nokian Tyres Hakkapeliitta 01 Adaptive Base+01
Photo credit: Nokian

If the tire is cold, the two different styles of studs—one type placed near the center rib of the tire for straight-line traction and one type placed near the shoulders for cornering traction—extend from the tread to bite through frozen surfaces. If the tire warms up, those studs hide back up inside the tread again. Even if it sounds like the studs might deploy overnight in cold conditions, they should quickly settle back into the tread on dry pavement, tucked away in reserve in case they’re needed.

Nokian+tyres+hakkapeliitta+01+(29) tires
Photo credit: Nokian

All this happens passively, no electronics required. Nokian’s pretty coy about the precise technical details, but the essential component appears to be the proprietary material the studs mount to. Since the Hakkapeliitta 01 doesn’t require any sort of electronic mechanism to deploy or retract its studs, you can sort of just throw them on anything. Plus, if you quickly hit a patch of ice while running on mostly bare asphalt, loads of little sipes, a winter rubber compound, and the confidence of that three-peak mountain snowflake rating means they should offer just as much confidence as a studless winter tire in that particular scenario. Of course, I haven’t personally tested them yet, but I have spent my own money on Nokian tires in the past and found them well worth it—and I’m extraordinarily picky about rubber.

Nokian+tyres+hakkapeliitta+01+(17) tires
Photo credit: Nokian

What was once the tire tech of fantasy is now pretty much real, and it’s coming to North America this autumn. Unfortunately, studded tires remain profoundly illegal in my neck of the woods, so I won’t be able to throw a set on my 335i and report back, but you can bet I’m watching the Hakkapeliitta 01 closely.

Top graphic images: MGM/UA; Nokian Tyres

The post Winter Tires With James-Bond-Style Retractable Studs Are Now Real And You Can Buy A Set This Fall appeared first on The Autopian.

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LeMadChef
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