cosmonautroger:

Ὕβρις γὰρ ἐξανθοῦσ᾽ ἐκάρπωσεν στάχυν
ἄτης, ὅθεν πάγκλαυτον ἐξαμᾷ θέρος.
Arrogance in full bloom bears a crop of ruinous folly
from which it reaps a harvest all of tears.

—Aeschylus, The Persians (Πέρσαι,) lines 821–822 (472 BCE)[h/t Robert Scott Horton

Recently, my father called me in a panic. There were just a few minutes until Netflix would start streaming a live MMA event, and he couldn’t get into my account. For a while, my father had accessed Netflix as an add-on member with his own profile through my household’s account. On this day, however, he was logged out and couldn’t use my login credentials to watch Netflix. Instead, he saw a prompt asking him to “Add an email address to your profile” in order to continue.

After some frantic phone troubleshooting and a couple of password resets, we realized that my father had to create his own login to continue using the extra profile that I paid for. Although I was able to get him set up in time (for some disappointing bouts), the situation was confusing and inconvenient.

More users have been encountering this situation as Netflix has gradually required that each profile under a Netflix subscription have a unique email address. When setting this up for my father, I was also asked, but not required, to provide a first and last name.

A Netflix spokesperson confirmed to Ars Technica:

This sign-in update is a permanent change that started rolling out on June 15, 2026.

The change means that every user can now have their own login credentials, which could make it easier for secondary account users to store or change their credentials, log in to a new device, or use two-factor authentication. This setup also enables profile owners to set their language, audio, and display settings without the account holder, Cord Cutters News notes.

The email requirement doesn’t apply to profiles designated as belonging to a child.

Still, some users are complaining online. Some of the complaints come from families that often use different Netflix profiles on the same device, such as a living room TV.

Other complaints argue that Netflix doesn’t truly need this information and is merely seeking more ways to track viewers and share information with advertisers. Notably, Netflix’s privacy policy says Netflix may share users' email addresses with marketing and advertising companies.

More immediately, sharing his email with Netflix meant my dad automatically started receiving advertisements for Netflix programming in his inbox (which he can unsubscribe from).

Other concerns come from individuals who use multiple profiles. For example, one purported subscriber wrote on Reddit:

I am the only one that uses my Netflix so I created each profile to be for certain types of shows. I have a main one for the shows that are my general [TV], some favs to rewatch.

Then I have one for movies, documentaries, reality/competition shows etc.

It works great to organize and help if [I] am in a mood for, say, a documentary, [I] don't have to scroll through all the other styles of shows.

Multifactor authentication

Amid discussions of the new profile requirement, Ars has also seen users be concerned that Netflix will require multifactor authentication as of July 7. This seemingly stems from a Tuesday report from trade publication Media Play News that’s no longer available online (you can view the article via the Internet Archive's Wayback Machine). However, Ars understands that the multifactor authentication announcement only relates to business partner accounts and will not affect how regular users log in to Netflix.

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The Jeep CJ-8 Scrambler is one of the most beloved Jeeps of all time. It took the fun convertible Jeep CJ, and threw a somewhat awkwardly long bed on the back, yielding a lovable off-road workhorse. Jeep chose to call its Wrangler-based pickup the Gladiator when that vehicle launched in 2019, but now Stellantis says it’s going to offer a new Scrambler, and we need to talk about what that might be, because that’s one of the most beloved nameplates in all of Jeepdom.

When Jeep was developing the Wrangler-based Gladiator, there was lots of conversation within what was then Fiat Chrysler about what to name the truck. Both Gladiator and Scrambler were on the table, and I’m fairly sure Comanche was as well, though I’m sure there was some controversy about resurrecting a Native American name for a nameplate. In any case, Gladiator won out, which I thought was bit odd. You see, the Jeep Gladiator, historically, has been a work-focused (not off-road-focused) pickup truck based on a separate platform than the convertible Jeep CJ/Wrangler.

Here’s a look at an old Jeep Gladiator:

The Scrambler, to me, made more sense as a name, since the new Jeep truck was to be based on the Wrangler and it was going to be convertible, like the old CJ-8 Scrambler:

But anyway, the current truck was ultimately named the Gladiator:

Now, at its investor day today, Stellantis has announced a new Scrambler, and I have no idea what the heck it’s going to be:

So let’s talk about that.

The Dream

Let’s get straight to what I would consider the ideal Scrambler — a vehicle that would knock my socks off and send me straight to the Jeep dealership: any sort of two-door pickup.

The reality is that the Scrambler name, like the old Gladiator name, was associated with a two-door truck — a configuration that I think is much, much cooler than a four-door. Will Jeep desecrate the Scrambler name like it did the Gladiator, and append that badge to a four-door? Most likely. Two-door trucks are niche and sell in small numbers, though if we’re being honest, if there’s any brand for which a two-door does make sense it’s Jeep, since Jeep is all about off-roading, and the most capable pickup trucks are two-doors. Jeep also has a lot of brand-damage to undo, so this could be a fun enthusiast’s vehicle to get the brand’s mojo back.

I’m dreaming, here. But please, Jeep gods, present us with a two-door pickup! The world is a complicated and sometimes dark place; please shine upon us the light of a regular cab Jeep truck!

Please?

The More Likely Reality

If you look in the Ram section of this Stellantis Investor Day presentation, you’ll see what the company has been mentioning for years: A mid-size Dodge pickup:

I have always assumed that the Gladiator and Dakota would share a platform, but what if the Gladiator remains its own thing (or is just nixed entirely), and it’s the Scrambler that shares a platform with the Dakota?

This is obviously a less exciting proposition than a two-door Wrangler-based truck, as the Ram Dakota is almost certainly going to be a four-door, high-volume, street-focused truck instead of a two-door off-road brute. You could use the platform to build a Jeep that’s more capable than the Dakota, but if the Gladiator stuck around, I’d be a little confused about how a Dakota-based Scrambler would be different enough. If the current Gladiator were nixed, why not keep that name?

So I’m not sure how this one makes a lot of sense. Maybe the Dakota will be smaller/cheaper, so this would slot in below the Gladiator? Or maybe the answer is a combination of this and the previous idea: What if it were a regular cab version of the Dakota? Then you could offer both configurations on the Ram for folks looking for cheap work trucks, and the Jeep Scrambler would just be the two-door off-road beast.

I have no idea.

[Update: I’m just seeing the Rampage in the image above. Maybe the Scrambler will be a rebadged Rampage (small hybrid truck) and the Gladiator will be the Dakota? -DT] 

A Left-Field Idea

I’ve been thinking a lot about how Jeep should position itself for the future, powertrain wise. For years, Jeep has been showing off electric Wranglers at the Easter Jeep Safari. I don’t think now’s the time for an EV Wrangler, and if you look at the EVs the brand has offered (the Wagoneer S and Recon), those have been met with lukewarm receptions. The Wagoneer S’s sales volumes are sad, and the Recon’s will almost certainly be, too.

It’s time for hybrids, and I mean proper ones. Yes, there have been the Jeep 4xe models, but those were half-baked, with low range and all sorts of quality issues. I’d like to see something a bit more…baked. I’d like to see an EREV like the Ram Ramcharger, whose chassis is shown above.

I think it’d be cool for Jeep to offer both an EREV and a gas Wrangler-like vehicle. That way, no matter what happens with gasoline prices or regulations, Jeep will have a halo machine with a powertrain that will work for the long-haul in all markets.

Imagine a 600 horsepower off-road electric Jeep truck with a gas generator in the back. It’d be awesome.

What Do You Think?

Anytime a journalist ends an article with a question, it means they really have no idea, and I’ll admit it: I have no idea! I don’t know what this new Scrambler will be. I think we should prepare for some kind of Dakota-ized four-door truck. Maybe it’ll be less off-road focused than the current Gladiator, hence the new name? That’s my guess for now, but I would love if it were actually a two-door off-roader, and I’d especially love if it were an EREV, though then you’d probably have to give up solid axles.

Please Jeep gods: Present us with a regular cab Jeep truck, finally. It’s been 35 years!

Top Image: Jeep

The post There’s A New Jeep Scrambler Coming And I’m Insanely Excited appeared first on The Autopian.

(This blog essay is overdue because I'm still waiting for new prescription glasses and writing while cross-eyed with text zoomed to 250% is tedious. They should be here later this week. Meanwhile ...)

Back in January 2022 I wrote an essay revisiting my predictions for 2017. My review of 2017's stab in the dark began, "it spanned three blog posts and ended happily in a nuclear barbecue to put us all out of our misery: start here, continue with this, and finale: and the Rabid Nazi Raccoons shall inherit the Earth."

I'll actually stand by those 2017 predictions, which were weirdly not that far off the mark although Queen Elizabeth II outlasted my prediction by several years.

But my 2022 predictions?

Oh boy.

Look, for an amateur futurologist writing in January of 2022 it was arguably forgivable to miss the US electorate being so boneheadedly stupid that they'd re-elect the most corrupt president in their nation's history, at the head of a Gish gallop of barkingly ignorant and destructive cranks and conspiracy theorists determined to tear down the republic and destroy its vital institutions, all in the name of returning the social order (per the Project 2025 plan) to the 50s--the 1850s, that is, not the 1950s. With 20/20 hindsight, what I missed was the now-obvious wave of media ownership consolidation, including corporate social media such as X, Meta, and Google, in the hands of a narrow class of billionaire oligarchs. I also missed the complacent incompetence of the Biden administration with respect to organizing their succession plans--it was obvious that by 2024 he'd be vulnerable to campaign ratfucking on grounds of his age, and his anointed successor was guilty of being (a) too female and (b) non-white, rendering her unacceptable to a large chunk of the voters.

But, even if you forgive my failure to recognize the catastrophic collapse of the US as a credible hegemonic superpower over the past 3-4 years, I can only hang my head in shame over my failure to anticipate the Ukraine war, which broke out six weeks after that blog essay. Let alone to anticipate a revolution in military affairs as profound as that brought about of the first world war.

Similiarly, I have no excuse for not recognizing that an Israel with politics dominated by Benjamin Netanyahu would go Full Nazi sooner rather than later, as the genocide in Gaza and the program to build a Greater Israel in Lebanon demonstrate. I mean, I grew up going to synagogue and have visited Israel more than once! I should have seen the signs, they were all there as far back as the 1980s. Mea culpa. (And fuck those guys.)

While I correctly recognized the EV transport revolution, I missed the concurrent solar power and grid-scale battery revolution, now very visibly in train and arguably more important than the arrival of cheap electric cars and cheaper e-bikes. I didn't notice the global supply chain crisis of 2021-2023, even then gathering pace, although it didn't impact consumer prices for a few more months.

Possibly my worst miss is that I completely discounted the profound social impact of LLMs (or so-called "AI"), not simply as a massive technology sector investment bubble and happy hunting ground for snake oil salesmen and grifters, but as a corrosive influence on population-level critical thinking. I should have seen it coming--I read Joseph Weizenbaum's Computer Power and Human Reason back in the 1980s--but I didn't recognize just how unable to see past the ELIZA illusion most people would prove to be.

Nor did I expect the transhumanists, extropians, and the rest of the hairball of beliefs now congealing into the syncretistic techno-religion of TESCREAL to have seized control of trillions of dollars of private equity and not only be arguing about the Singularity but to be squabbling over who gets to run it (with a side-order of racism and eugenics on top, because every flavour of crank batshittery is so much better with a side-order of fascism and concentration camps).

So I'm sticking a flag in the ground here and admitting: I am officially a shit futurologist.

Back in 2022, and before that, in 2017 and even in 2007, I espoused a general rule of thumb about predicting the future, that:

Looking 10 years ahead, about 70% of the people, buildings, cars, and culture is already here today. Another 20-25% is not present yet but is predictable -- buildings under construction, software and hardware and drugs in development, children today who will be adults in a decade. And finally, there's about a 5-10% element that comes from the "who ordered that" dimension

2022 forced me to update the ratio to:

20% of 10-year-hence developments utterly unpredictable, leaving us with 55-60% in the "here today" and 20-25% in the "not here yet, but clearly on the horizon" baskets

Anyway, it's now 2026, and I officially give up.

The Stross Ratio for predicting events ten years hence is now 60/10/30. That is: 60% of the people, buildings, and culture are here today. 10% is predictably on the drawing boards, and a whopping 30% is utterly unpredictable.

Airborne Hantavirus pandemic or global Measles pandemic, who the fuck knows what we're going to get--given that the US FDA is run by a crank who doesn't believe in the germ theory of disease and seems to be trying to spike vaccine development globally?

A shutdown of global semiconductor fabrication caused by a worldwide helium shortage, and a global fertilizer shortage causing famine and food price spikes, due to a senile sundowning autocrat starting a war with Iran without any clear exit strategy?

Who ordered any of this?

I'm reasonably confident that the Russian invasion of Ukraine will be over by this time in 2030--quite likely by this time in 2027, due to the collapse of the Russian domestic economy. I'm also reasonably confident that the US war on Iran will be over by this time in 2030, if only because Trump will most likely be dead or in palliative care (possibly following his removal in a soft coup via Article 25 of the US constitution, due to his very obvious current illness and decline). (Note that Trump's insistence on "running for a third term" is very probably a serious sign that the electoral process in the USA is no longer fully functional, under the aegis of the supreme court he appointed, as long as he survives. His successor may not be able to sustain his ability to ignore the law: if they can, then, well, the US Republic is over: it had a good run, from 1776 to 2026.) The AI bubble will have burst long before May 2027--the semiconductor pinch caused by the aforementioned helium supply crisis will cripple Nvidia's ability to manufacture chipsets for data centers, and the US DCs are all being built to run on diesel/kerosene burning gas turbine power plants anyway, the price of which has skyrocketed due to the gulf war.

I expect us to be well into Great Depression 2.0 by this time in 2030.

There will be some grounds for hope. The global energy transition to renewables will, by that point, be a done deal. It also means China will have replaced the USA as the global energy superpower--not because they dominate the transport routes for energy but because they manufacture 80% of the planet's EVs and PV panels and batteries. But that's a tenuous hold on superpowerdom. If the Chinese government throws its weight around in the 21st century the way the USA did in the 20th, it will rapidly find first-tier rivals building up their own manufacturing capability: meanwhile, PV/battery is inherently easier to distribute that large, centralized grid based power supplies, and the dronification of warfare means (at least in the near term) that rapid mechanized wars of maneuver are a non-starter: the "fog of war" is on the way out, replaced by highly precise targeting of advancing assets and the robotization of the front line.

In space, I'm pretty sure we will see a Kessler Syndrome event if the idiotic rush towards putting data centers in orbit goes anywhere. But I think it's not going to happen--SpaceX is inextricably tied to the current tech bubble, and when it pops Elon Musk is going to wish he had a bunker to hide in.

The main casualty of this decade is the ideological credibility of capitalism as a social organizational principle.

Enshittification, also known as platform decay, per wiki, is "a process in which two-sided online products and services decline in quality over time. Initially, vendors create high-quality offerings to attract users, then they degrade those offerings to better serve business customers, and finally degrade their services to both users and business customers to maximize short-term profits for shareholders." Systematic capture of the US government and the global system of trade by capitalists has resulted in the creation of a framework optimized for enshittification all round, and the result is the enshittification of everything--all the infrastructure of the capitalist world is decaying and on fire as the post-privatization owners loot it.

This is the Marx-predicted crisis of capitalism, and it's been in progress since the collapse of the USSR in 1991 removed the main ideological standard-bearer for opposition. It accelerated in 2008 with the global financial crisis, and again in 2020 when the pandemic provided top cover for the hyaenas to go on a looting spree. They've stripped the corpse of actually-existing social democracies everywhere to the bone, and now they're cannibalizing their own body politic. Disaster capitalism has finally come home to roost, and it won't end until the global financial system collapses. Meanwhile, the generation born in the 21st century has no time for their shit. We are moving into a political state weirdly reminiscent of the period between 1905 and the 1930s. If we're lucky we're going to get New Deal 2.0 and a brisk round of socialism: if we're unlucky, it's going to be guillotine time all over again.

PS: do not expect to see me visiting the USA any time soon. Millions of people applying for a US visa are now required to make all of their social media accounts publicly visible -- or risk having their applications delayed or denied outright. The directive, which covers more than a dozen nonimmigrant visa categories, has been rolling out in phases since June 2025 and expanded significantly as of 30 March 2026. This policy is impossible to implement without feeding all those social media profiles to an LLM in search of a verdict, and they'll obviously be screening applicants for ideological compatibility. And if it's rolling out to visa applicants now, the automated program will inevitably be applied to I-94W (visa waiver) travelers shortly thereafter. My social media profile is that of a pro-LGBT pro-Green hard left troublemaker, so ... nope, not going there: I am absolutely not interested in touring the concentration camps of El Salvador!

Cement production alone currently accounts for about 8 percent of global CO₂ emissions, so considerable effort is going into lowering that number. Efficiency can be increased, and energy sources can be swapped for cleaner ones, but a stubborn reality remains: The byproduct of turning limestone into lime during cement production releases CO₂ gas. These “direct process emissions” are actually slightly larger than the emissions from burning fuel to heat the kilns and drive this process.

A new paper in Communications Sustainability suggests a route to eliminating direct process emissions by removing a bedrock assumption. What if we don’t have to use limestone cement?

Get out of Portland

The material we call “Portland cement” was developed in the 1800s. It simply requires heating limestone (calcium carbonate) and adding something like clay or coal ash. This gives you the calcium oxide (lime) you’re after but also releases the CO₂ that results when you pull an oxygen atom from carbonate.

The authors of the new paper include the CEO and an engineer from a company that says it has made Portland cement from silicate rocks like basalt—at the lab scale. Basalt contains a mix of minerals that include calcium, aluminum, iron, magnesium, sodium, silicon, and oxygen. (Note the absence of carbon from that list.) The basic idea is that you don’t need limestone to get calcium oxide.

The process of freeing these components from basalt looks more like a refining or recycling process than the toss-it-in-the-oven simplicity of the limestone process. Acid can be used to leach elements like calcium out, then a chemical or energetic process precipitates that calcium as calcium hydroxide. Toss that in a kiln with additives of your choice, and with less heating than you need for limestone, you’ve got Portland cement, with only water vapor released.

Those steps (along with follow-up reactions to restore the acid or other chemicals to a usable state) obviously add up in terms of cost and energy use. Tallying up the energy to do all this using common techniques, the researchers found that you need to use a little more than double the energy of traditional production from limestone.

The interesting thing is that, according to thermodynamics, the chemical conversion of basalt minerals to calcium oxide only requires around half as much as the conversion from limestone. The problem is that our techniques to facilitate that chemical conversion are quite inefficient, so we don’t get anywhere near what is theoretically possible.

Better options?

The researchers note that there are at least some known lab techniques that could greatly improve our efficiency if they can be applied at scale, but even if we’re stuck with doubled energy usage, producing Portland cement from basalt would significantly reduce CO₂ emissions. That’s because the direct liberation of CO₂ from limestone is eliminated and because the whole process can run on electricity.

Assuming you use electricity from a fossil-fuel-dominated grid, they estimate that emissions would be cut by almost 30 percent. Using clean electricity would eliminate most of the remaining emissions.

The trade-off, obviously, would be cost, which generally wins out over the sustainability of a livable environment.

But there is another interesting aspect to this idea: The other components of the basalt also have value. Iron, magnesium, and aluminum could also be separated and recovered, and leftover silicate material can serve as the additive for Portland cement instead of something like coal ash. So if these things were done together, the process could become more economically feasible.

That’s a lot of ifs and buts, but this relatively simple analysis can at least point to what would have to happen to make this viable. And given that cement is one of the tougher nuts to crack in the struggle to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions, concrete solutions are welcome.

Communications Sustainability, 2026. DOI: 10.1038/s44458-026-00056-4 (About DOIs).

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